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Prognostications Following Sweep By Miami


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Welcome to Dirtbags Baseball blog! I was introduced to Long Beach State baseball in 2002 when my nephew, Neil Jamison, joined the team (and university) as a freshman. I started the blog in March of 2004, and generally discuss the team, current players and those that have moved on to professional baseball - as Neil has done in the San Diego Padres organization. Living in San Diego County, and with Neil moving to the next level, I won't be attending as many Dirtbags games. But, mostly from a distance, I'll remain a Dirtbags fan. I welcome tips on stories and information concerning the Dirtbags (current, past and future). I can be contacted at dirtbagsfan@yahoo.com.

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Sunday, May 30, 2004

Prognostications Following Sweep By Miami

First, here are links to stories on the series loss:

Long Beach Press-Telegram
Long Beach State.com
Miami Hurricanes Team site

In a previous post I excerpted an article in the San Diego Union-Tribune, quoting David Worlock, College World Series media coordinator for the NCAA on which western schools had bid for regional sites. According to the article, this included Arizona State. I e-mailed Mr. Worlock whether this was correct, given that every other source I have seen refutes this. He replied that he was quoted incorrectly, and that Arizona State has NOT bid for regional, but HAS bid for a super regional.

In a few hours, we will learn the 16 regional sites. If, as seems likely, UC Irvine makes the field, a regional at Long Beach remains a strong possibility. Here's why:

Stanford and Fullerton will host, both as #1 seeds.

Arizona State will be a #1 seed, but will not host.

The Dirtbags, Fullerton and Irvine cannot, under the rules, be placed in the same regional since they are in the same conference (2002 was an exception under travel restrictions post- 9/11).

Besides Stanford and Fullerton, the western schools bidding for a regional are: Long Beach, San Diego State, BYU, Oregon State, and UC Riverside. San Diego State is out of the tournament. They lost the Mountain West Conference tournament to UNLV, and have an RPI over 100. Oregon State is unlikely to make the tournament with a 62 RPI. Brigham Young is out (also in the Mountain West, and has a 218 RPI). Finally, UC Riverside will not make it to the tournament. Its RPI is 69. As a result, if there is to be a third western regional site, it is likely to be at Long Beach.

The alternative, having only two western regionals, leaves Arizona State and Long Beach (or Irvine) travelling at least half way across the country. While I certainly have no doubt that the committee would send one on a plane trip, with the need to site two teams from the west a third regional becomes a real possibility. We'll see today.

Finally, neither the Dirtbags (nor we fans) have anything to hang our heads about on the Miami series. Our guys have no quit in them. They kept battling to the end in every game. Despite, in all probability, having to take the more difficult road route (above possibility excepted), I will not be surprised to see the 'Bags in Omaha. The guys haven't given up, and neither have I.

posted on 5/30/2004 by Jeff Agnew

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